Regular season ·

Rice beat UAB

Rice3-430
UAB5-324Final
Sat, Oct 23 · Protective Stadium, Birmingham, Ala. · Crowd 24,845 · 75°, clearESPN+

Records are after this game.

Rice beat UAB by 6 points.

How the game turned

Rice aheadUAB aheadBiggest swingLow: 6%

Q3 6:53 Rice 27, UAB 21

Rice 44% to win

Hopkins 72-yd TD pass to Prince, cuts it to 27-21

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:40 · Rice 7, UAB 0Rice's win chance rose from 11% to 14%.Myers 1-yd TD run, Rice goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 1:40 · Rice 13, UAB 14Rice's win chance fell from 15% to 11%.McBride 26-yd TD run, UAB goes ahead 14-13
  3. 3Q2 3:23 · Rice 20, UAB 14Rice's win chance rose from 17% to 26%.Green 11-yd TD pass to Pitre, Rice goes ahead 20-14
  4. 4Q3 6:53 · Rice 27, UAB 21Rice's win chance fell from 77% to 44%.Hopkins 72-yd TD pass to Prince, cuts it to 27-21
  5. 5Q4 5:52 · Rice 30, UAB 21Rice's win chance rose from 56% to 87%.VanSickle 27-yd field goal, Rice leads 30-21

Rice's lowest chance to win was 6 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 6:53 left in the 3rd quarter, UAB's chance to win went from 23 percent to 56 percent when UAB scored a touchdown.

The score went from Rice 27, UAB 14 to Rice 27, UAB 21.

The play: Hopkins 72-yd TD pass to Prince, cuts it to 27-21.

It was Rice's first win over UAB since the 2013 season, after 4 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. Rice's next game: L 24-30 vs North Texas, Oct 30

    7 days later
  2. UAB's next game: W 52-38 vs Louisiana Tech, Nov 6

    14 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 23, 2021: Rice 28, UAB 24, Oct 1, 2022

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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