Regular season ·
Charlotte beat Rice
Records are after this game.
Charlotte had a 4 percent chance to win with 2:39 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 31-24 in overtime, November 6, 2021.
How the game turned
OT1 Charlotte 31, Rice 24
Charlotte 100% to win
Reynolds 25-yd TD pass to Spencer, Charlotte wins it 31-24
Big moments
- 1Q1 4:37 · Charlotte 7, Rice 0Charlotte's win chance rose from 69% to 78%.Reynolds 53-yd TD pass to Camp, Charlotte goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 7:49 · Charlotte 14, Rice 7Charlotte's win chance rose from 71% to 78%.Byrd 1-yd TD run, Charlotte goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q3 2:48 · Charlotte 14, Rice 17Charlotte's win chance fell from 69% to 48%.Myers 1-yd TD run, Rice goes ahead 17-14
- 4Q4 1:14 · Charlotte 24, Rice 24Charlotte's win chance rose from 16% to 33%.Reynolds 8-yd TD pass to Spencer, ties it 24-24
- 5OT1 · Charlotte 31, Rice 24Charlotte's win chance rose from 40% to 100%.Reynolds 25-yd TD pass to Spencer, Charlotte wins it 31-24
Charlotte's lowest chance to win was 4 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
In overtime, Charlotte's chance to win went from 39 percent to 99 percent when Charlotte scored a touchdown.
The score went from Charlotte 24, Rice 24 to Charlotte 31, Rice 24.
The play: Reynolds 25-yd TD pass to Spencer, Charlotte wins it 31-24.
What happened next
Charlotte's next game: L 32-42 at Louisiana Tech, Nov 13
7 days laterRice's next game: L 21-42 vs Western Kentucky, Nov 13
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 6, 2021: Charlotte 56, Rice 23, Oct 29, 2022
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.