Regular season ·
Syracuse beat Liberty
Records are after this game.
Syracuse beat Liberty by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q4 0:00 Syracuse 24, Liberty 21
Syracuse 100% to win
Szmyt 35-yd field goal, Syracuse wins it 24-21
Big moments
- 1Q2 13:40 · Syracuse 7, Liberty 0Syracuse's win chance rose from 39% to 52%.Shrader 1-yd TD run, Syracuse goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q4 14:31 · Syracuse 21, Liberty 21Syracuse's win chance fell from 70% to 40%.Willis 33-yd TD pass to Douglas, ties it 21-21
- 3Q4 (no clock) · Syracuse 21, Liberty 21Syracuse's win chance fell from 50% to 30%.Willis run for a 1-yd loss, turnover on downs
- 4Q4 0:00 · Syracuse 24, Liberty 21Syracuse's win chance rose from 63% to 100%.Szmyt 35-yd field goal, Syracuse wins it 24-21
Syracuse's lowest chance to win was 21 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Syracuse's chance to win went from 63 percent to 99 percent when Syracuse kicked a field goal.
The score went from Syracuse 21, Liberty 21 to Syracuse 24, Liberty 21.
The play: Szmyt 35-yd field goal, Syracuse wins it 24-21.
What happened next
Syracuse's next game: L 30-33 at Florida State, Oct 2
8 days laterLiberty's next game: W 36-12 at UAB, Oct 2
8 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.