Regular season ·

NC State beat Clemson

No. 9 Clemson2-221
NC State3-127Final
Sat, Sep 25 · Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, N.C. · Crowd 56,919 · 74°, overcastESPN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

NC State beat Clemson 27-21 in 2 overtimes, September 25, 2021.

How the game turned

NC State aheadClemson aheadBiggest swingLow: 9%

Q4 10:52 NC State 14, Clemson 14

NC State 38% to win

Shipley 5-yd TD run, ties it 14-14

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:11 · NC State 0, Clemson 7NC State's win chance fell from 22% to 15%.Uiagalelei 32-yd TD pass to Ross
  2. 2Q3 5:10 · NC State 14, Clemson 7NC State's win chance rose from 44% to 60%.Leary 12-yd TD pass to Carter, NC State goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q4 10:52 · NC State 14, Clemson 14NC State's win chance fell from 70% to 38%.Shipley 5-yd TD run, ties it 14-14
  4. 4OT1 · NC State 14, Clemson 21NC State's win chance fell from 24% to 22%.Uiagalelei 9-yd TD pass to Ross
  5. 5OT1 · NC State 21, Clemson 21NC State's win chance rose from 30% to 42%.Leary 2-yd TD pass to Thomas, ties it 21-21
  6. 6OT2 · NC State 27, Clemson 21NC State's win chance rose from 42% to 47%.Leary 22-yd TD pass to Carter, two-point try fails, NC State goes ahead 27-21

NC State's lowest chance to win was 9 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 10:52 left in the 4th quarter, Clemson's chance to win went from 30 percent to 62 percent when Clemson scored a touchdown.

The score went from NC State 14, Clemson 7 to NC State 14, Clemson 14.

The play: Shipley 5-yd TD run, ties it 14-14.

It was NC State's first win over Clemson since the 2011 season, after 8 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. NC State's next game: W 34-27 vs Louisiana Tech, Oct 2

    7 days later
  2. Clemson's next game: W 19-13 vs Boston College, Oct 2

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 25, 2021: Clemson 30, NC State 20, Oct 1, 2022

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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