Regular season ·

Florida State beat North Carolina

Florida State2-435
North Carolina3-325Final
Sat, Oct 9 · Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, N.C. · Crowd 44,805 · 68°, drizzleESPN

Records are after this game.

Florida State beat North Carolina by 10 points.

How the game turned

Florida State aheadNorth Carolina aheadBiggest swingLow: 5%

Q3 7:43 Florida State 28, North Carolina 17

Florida State 69% to win

Travis 1-yd TD run, Florida State leads 28-17

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 10:27 · Florida State 0, North Carolina 3Atkins 51-yd field goal, North Carolina goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 8:36 · Florida State 14, North Carolina 10Florida State's win chance rose from 20% to 28%.Travis 53-yd TD run, Florida State goes ahead 14-10
  3. 3Q2 0:53 · Florida State 21, North Carolina 10Florida State's win chance rose from 43% to 57%.Travis 32-yd TD pass to Wilson, Florida State leads 21-10
  4. 4Q3 7:43 · Florida State 28, North Carolina 17Florida State's win chance rose from 47% to 69%.Travis 1-yd TD run, Florida State leads 28-17

Florida State's lowest chance to win was 5 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 7:43 left in the 3rd quarter, Florida State's chance to win went from 47 percent to 69 percent when Florida State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Florida State 21, North Carolina 17 to Florida State 28, North Carolina 17.

The play: Travis 1-yd TD run, Florida State leads 28-17.

What happened next

  1. North Carolina's next game: W 45-42 vs Miami, Oct 16

    7 days later
  2. Florida State's next game: W 59-3 vs Massachusetts, Oct 23

    14 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 9, 2021: North Carolina 35, Florida State 11, Nov 2, 2024

    about 3 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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