Regular season ·

Pittsburgh beat North Carolina

North Carolina5-523
Pittsburgh8-230Final
Thu, Nov 11 · Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, Pa. · Crowd 41,687 · 62°, overcastESPN

Records are after this game.

Pittsburgh beat North Carolina by 7 points in overtime.

How the game turned

Pittsburgh aheadNorth Carolina aheadBiggest swing

Q4 5:26 Pittsburgh 23, North Carolina 20

Pittsburgh 59% to win

Kenny Pickett pass intercepted Jeremiah Gemmel return for no gain

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 11:32 · Pittsburgh 0, North Carolina 0Pittsburgh's win chance fell from 74% to 64%.Pickett incomplete to Addison, turnover on downs
  2. 2Q1 8:00 · Pittsburgh 7, North Carolina 0Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 73% to 78%.Davis 2-yd TD run, Pittsburgh goes ahead 7-0
  3. 3Q4 5:34 · Pittsburgh 23, North Carolina 20Pittsburgh's win chance fell from 89% to 78%.Howell 1-yd TD run, cuts it to 23-20
  4. 4Q4 0:57 · Pittsburgh 23, North Carolina 23Atkins 20-yd field goal, ties it 23-23
  5. 5OT1 · Pittsburgh 30, North Carolina 23Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 59% to 67%.Pickett 11-yd TD pass to Krull, Pittsburgh goes ahead 30-23

Pittsburgh's lowest chance to win was 50 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 5:26 left in the 4th quarter, North Carolina's chance to win went from 22 percent to 41 percent on an interception.

The score stayed Pittsburgh 23, North Carolina 20.

What happened next

  1. Pittsburgh's next game: W 48-38 vs Virginia, Nov 20

    9 days later
  2. North Carolina's next game: W 34-14 vs Wofford, Nov 20

    9 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 11, 2021: North Carolina 42, Pittsburgh 24, Oct 29, 2022

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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