Regular season ·

Purdue beat Iowa

Purdue4-224
No. 2 Iowa6-17Final
Sat, Oct 16 · Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, Iowa · Crowd 69,250 · 59°, clearABC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Purdue beat No. 2 Iowa by 17 points.

Iowa was No. 2 in the AP poll before the game; Purdue was not ranked.

How the game turned

Purdue aheadIowa aheadBiggest swingLow: 15%
123

Q2 3:20 Purdue 7, Iowa 7

Purdue 37% to win

Kelly-Martin 3-yd TD run, ties it 7-7

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 3:38 · Purdue 7, Iowa 0Purdue's win chance rose from 35% to 41%.O'Connell 6-yd TD run, Purdue goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 3:20 · Purdue 7, Iowa 7Purdue's win chance fell from 53% to 37%.Kelly-Martin 3-yd TD run, ties it 7-7
  3. 3Q2 0:19 · Purdue 14, Iowa 7Purdue's win chance rose from 38% to 51%.O'Connell 3-yd TD pass to Sheffield, Purdue goes ahead 14-7

Purdue's lowest chance to win was 15 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 3:20 left in the 2nd quarter, Iowa's chance to win went from 47 percent to 63 percent when Iowa scored a touchdown.

The score went from Purdue 7, Iowa 0 to Purdue 7, Iowa 7.

The play: Kelly-Martin 3-yd TD run, ties it 7-7.

What happened next

  1. Iowa went from No. 2 to No. 11 in the next AP poll.

  2. Purdue's next game: L 13-30 vs Wisconsin, Oct 23

    7 days later

  3. Iowa's next game: L 7-27 at Wisconsin, Oct 30

    14 days later

  4. The teams' next meeting after Oct 16, 2021: Iowa 24, Purdue 3, Nov 5, 2022

    about 13 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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