Regular season ·

Iowa beat Minnesota

Minnesota6-422
No. 19 Iowa8-227Final
Sat, Nov 13 · Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, Iowa · Crowd 69,250 · 39°, overcastBTN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 19 Iowa beat Minnesota by 5 points.

How the game turned

Iowa aheadMinnesota aheadBiggest swingLow: 23%
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Q4 12:49 Iowa 24, Minnesota 16

Iowa 86% to win

Padilla 27-yd TD pass to Johnson, Iowa leads 24-16

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:49 · Iowa 3, Minnesota 0Shudak 50-yd field goal, Iowa goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 13:32 · Iowa 10, Minnesota 3Iowa's win chance rose from 54% to 73%.Padilla 1-yd TD run, Iowa goes ahead 10-3
  3. 3Q2 0:00 · Iowa 10, Minnesota 13Iowa's win chance fell from 47% to 45%.Trickett 31-yd field goal, Minnesota goes ahead 13-10
  4. 4Q3 11:51 · Iowa 17, Minnesota 13Iowa's win chance rose from 45% to 65%.Padilla 72-yd TD pass to Jones, Iowa goes ahead 17-13
  5. 5Q4 12:49 · Iowa 24, Minnesota 16Iowa's win chance rose from 58% to 86%.Padilla 27-yd TD pass to Johnson, Iowa leads 24-16

Iowa's lowest chance to win was 23 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 12:49 left in the 4th quarter, Iowa's chance to win went from 58 percent to 86 percent when Iowa scored a touchdown.

The score went from Iowa 17, Minnesota 16 to Iowa 24, Minnesota 16.

The play: Padilla 27-yd TD pass to Johnson, Iowa leads 24-16.

What happened next

  1. Iowa's next game: W 33-23 vs Illinois, Nov 20

    7 days later

  2. Minnesota's next game: W 35-14 at Indiana, Nov 20

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 13, 2021: Iowa 13, Minnesota 10, Nov 19, 2022

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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