Regular season ·
Purdue beat Michigan State
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Purdue beat No. 5 Michigan State by 11 points.
Michigan State was No. 5 in the AP poll before the game; Purdue was not ranked.
How the game turned
Q3 13:19 Purdue 21, Michigan State 14
Purdue 56% to win
Zander Horvath run for 7 yds, fumbled, forced by Pietrowski, recovered by Snow
Big moments
- 1Q1 9:12 · Purdue 7, Michigan State 0Purdue's win chance rose from 50% to 59%.O'Connell 5-yd TD pass to Bell, Purdue goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 13:23 · Purdue 14, Michigan State 7Purdue's win chance rose from 47% to 57%.O'Connell 8-yd TD pass to Thompson, Purdue goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q3 12:19 · Purdue 21, Michigan State 21Purdue's win chance fell from 59% to 47%.Thorne 32-yd TD run, ties it 21-21
- 4Q3 9:31 · Purdue 28, Michigan State 21Purdue's win chance rose from 57% to 66%.Doerue 1-yd TD run, Purdue goes ahead 28-21
Purdue's lowest chance to win was 32 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 13:19 left in the 3rd quarter, Michigan State's chance to win went from 24 percent to 44 percent on a fumble.
The score stayed Purdue 21, Michigan State 14.
It was Purdue's first win over Michigan State since the 2006 season, after 8 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
Purdue's next game: L 31-59 at Ohio State, Nov 13
7 days laterMichigan State's next game: W 40-21 vs Maryland, Nov 13
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 6, 2021: Michigan State 24, Purdue 17, Nov 22, 2024
about 3 years later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.