Regular season ·
SMU beat TCU
Records are after this game.
SMU beat TCU by 8 points.
How the game turned
Q3 14:19 SMU 28, TCU 21
SMU 67% to win
Bentley 1-yd TD run, SMU goes ahead 28-21
Big moments
- 1Q1 14:08 · SMU 6, TCU 0SMU's win chance rose from 25% to 34%.Mordecai 68-yd TD pass to Gray, SMU goes ahead 6-0
- 2Q1 10:48 · SMU 6, TCU 7SMU's win chance fell from 31% to 28%.Miller 20-yd TD run, TCU goes ahead 7-6
- 3Q1 8:44 · SMU 14, TCU 7SMU's win chance rose from 34% to 40%.Mordecai 4-yd TD run, two-point try good, SMU goes ahead 14-7
- 4Q2 13:31 · SMU 14, TCU 21SMU's win chance fell from 29% to 24%.Duggan 46-yd TD pass to Evans, TCU goes ahead 21-14
- 5Q3 14:19 · SMU 28, TCU 21SMU's win chance rose from 48% to 67%.Bentley 1-yd TD run, SMU goes ahead 28-21
SMU's lowest chance to win was 24 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 14:19 left in the 3rd quarter, SMU's chance to win went from 48 percent to 67 percent when SMU scored a touchdown.
The score went from SMU 21, TCU 21 to SMU 28, TCU 21.
The play: Bentley 1-yd TD run, SMU goes ahead 28-21.
What happened next
SMU's next game: W 41-17 vs South Florida, Oct 2
7 days laterTCU's next game: L 27-32 vs Texas, Oct 2
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 25, 2021: TCU 42, SMU 34, Sep 24, 2022
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.