Regular season ·

Texas Tech beat Iowa State

Iowa State6-438
Texas Tech6-441Final
Sat, Nov 13 · Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, Texas · Crowd 47,158 · 68°, clearESPN2

Records are after this game.

Texas Tech beat Iowa State by 3 points.

How the game turned

Texas Tech aheadIowa State aheadBiggest swingLow: 13%

Q4 0:00 Texas Tech 41, Iowa State 38

Texas Tech 100% to win

Garibay 62-yd field goal, Texas Tech wins it 41-38

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 10:42 · Texas Tech 7, Iowa State 0Texas Tech's win chance rose from 27% to 35%.Brooks 14-yd TD run, Texas Tech goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 4:26 · Texas Tech 14, Iowa State 7Texas Tech's win chance rose from 21% to 35%.Smith 39-yd TD pass to Price, Texas Tech goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q4 10:51 · Texas Tech 38, Iowa State 28Texas Tech's win chance rose from 48% to 84%.Thompson 13-yd TD run, Texas Tech leads 38-28
  4. 4Q4 1:00 · Texas Tech 38, Iowa State 38Mevis 29-yd field goal, ties it 38-38
  5. 5Q4 0:00 · Texas Tech 41, Iowa State 38Texas Tech's win chance rose from 61% to 100%.Garibay 62-yd field goal, Texas Tech wins it 41-38

Texas Tech's lowest chance to win was 13 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Texas Tech's chance to win went from 61 percent to 99 percent when Texas Tech kicked a field goal.

The score went from Texas Tech 38, Iowa State 38 to Texas Tech 41, Iowa State 38.

The play: Garibay 62-yd field goal, Texas Tech wins it 41-38.

It was Texas Tech's first win over Iowa State since the 2015 season, after 5 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. Texas Tech's next game: L 0-23 vs Oklahoma State, Nov 20

    7 days later
  2. Iowa State's next game: L 21-28 at Oklahoma, Nov 20

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 13, 2021: Texas Tech 14, Iowa State 10, Nov 19, 2022

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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