Regular season ·

Houston beat SMU

SMU7-137
Houston7-144Final
Sat, Oct 30 · TDECU Stadium, Houston, Texas · Crowd 25,676 · 66°, clearESPN2

Records are after this game.

Houston beat SMU by 7 points.

How the game turned

Houston aheadSMU aheadLow: 18%
12345678

Q4 13:36 Houston 37, SMU 34

Houston 59% to win

Tune 4-yd TD pass to Carter, Houston goes ahead 37-34

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 11:20 · Houston 7, SMU 0Houston's win chance rose from 55% to 62%.Tune 7-yd TD pass to Dell, Houston goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 0:00 · Houston 23, SMU 20Witherspoon 30-yd field goal, Houston goes ahead 23-20
  3. 3Q3 14:45 · Houston 23, SMU 27Houston's win chance fell from 51% to 32%.Massey return TD, SMU goes ahead 27-23
  4. 4Q3 9:22 · Houston 30, SMU 27Houston's win chance rose from 45% to 55%.Tune 17-yd TD pass to Dell, Houston goes ahead 30-27
  5. 5Q3 5:46 · Houston 30, SMU 34Houston's win chance fell from 61% to 30%.Siggers 2-yd TD run, SMU goes ahead 34-30
  6. 6Q4 13:36 · Houston 37, SMU 34Houston's win chance rose from 31% to 59%.Tune 4-yd TD pass to Carter, Houston goes ahead 37-34
  7. 7Q4 0:30 · Houston 37, SMU 37Mazza 45-yd field goal, ties it 37-37
  8. 8Q4 (no clock) · Houston 44, SMU 37Houston's win chance rose from 77% to 86%.Jones return TD, Houston goes ahead 44-37

Houston's lowest chance to win was 18 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Houston took the lead for good with 0:17 left in the 4th quarter, Houston 44, SMU 37.

What happened next

  1. Houston's next game: W 54-42 at South Florida, Nov 6

    7 days later

  2. SMU's next game: L 25-28 at Memphis, Nov 6

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 30, 2021: SMU 77, Houston 63, Nov 5, 2022

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

Share: Post on X · Text it ·