Regular season ·

Georgia State beat Coastal Carolina

Georgia State5-542
No. 22 Coastal Carolina8-240Final
Sat, Nov 13 · Brooks Stadium, Conway, S.C. · Crowd 16,744 · 70°, clearESPN+

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Georgia State beat No. 22 Coastal Carolina by 2 points.

Coastal Carolina was No. 22 in the AP poll before the game; Georgia State was not ranked.

How the game turned

Georgia State aheadCoastal Carolina aheadBiggest swingLow: 9%
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Q4 4:53 Georgia State 35, Coastal Carolina 34

Georgia State 49% to win

Grainger 2-yd TD pass to Dixon, Georgia State goes ahead 35-34

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 12:25 · Georgia State 0, Coastal Carolina 7Georgia State's win chance fell from 14% to 12%.Jones 1-yd TD run, Coastal Carolina goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 3:25 · Georgia State 7, Coastal Carolina 14Georgia State's win chance fell from 20% to 15%.Bennett 75-yd TD run, Coastal Carolina goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q2 14:57 · Georgia State 21, Coastal Carolina 14Georgia State's win chance rose from 31% to 44%.Gregg 1-yd TD run, Georgia State goes ahead 21-14
  4. 4Q4 9:15 · Georgia State 28, Coastal Carolina 34Georgia State's win chance fell from 32% to 16%.Jones 8-yd TD run, two-point try good, Coastal Carolina goes ahead 34-28
  5. 5Q4 4:53 · Georgia State 35, Coastal Carolina 34Georgia State's win chance rose from 16% to 49%.Grainger 2-yd TD pass to Dixon, Georgia State goes ahead 35-34

Georgia State's lowest chance to win was 9 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 4:53 left in the 4th quarter, Georgia State's chance to win went from 16 percent to 48 percent when Georgia State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Georgia State 28, Coastal Carolina 34 to Georgia State 35, Coastal Carolina 34.

The play: Grainger 2-yd TD pass to Dixon, Georgia State goes ahead 35-34.

What happened next

  1. Georgia State's next game: W 28-20 vs Arkansas State, Nov 20

    7 days later

  2. Coastal Carolina's next game: W 35-21 vs Texas State, Nov 20

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 13, 2021: Coastal Carolina 41, Georgia State 24, Sep 22, 2022

    about 10 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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