Regular season ·

LSU beat Arkansas

No. 7 LSU8-213
Arkansas5-510Final
Sat, Nov 12 · Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, Ark. · Crowd 73,750 · 38°, clearESPN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 7 LSU beat Arkansas by 3 points.

How the game turned

LSU aheadArkansas aheadBiggest swingLow: 37%
1234

Q4 1:19 LSU 13, Arkansas 10

LSU 88% to win

Cade Fortin run for 6 yds, fumbled, recovered by Wingo

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 4:48 · LSU 0, Arkansas 3LSU's win chance fell from 53% to 52%.Little 28-yd field goal, Arkansas goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 1:46 · LSU 6, Arkansas 3Ramos 29-yd field goal, LSU goes ahead 6-3
  3. 3Q3 5:25 · LSU 13, Arkansas 3LSU's win chance rose from 78% to 89%.Williams 1-yd TD run, LSU leads 13-3
  4. 4Q4 13:17 · LSU 13, Arkansas 10LSU's win chance fell from 88% to 72%.Fortin 40-yd TD pass to Landers, cuts it to 13-10

LSU's lowest chance to win was 37 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 1:19 left in the 4th quarter, LSU's chance to win went from 71 percent to 88 percent on a fumble.

The score stayed LSU 13, Arkansas 10.

What happened next

  1. LSU's next game: W 41-10 vs UAB, Nov 19

    7 days later

  2. Arkansas's next game: W 42-27 vs Ole Miss, Nov 19

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 12, 2022: LSU 34, Arkansas 31, Sep 23, 2023

    about 10 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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