Regular season ·

Vanderbilt beat Kentucky

Vanderbilt4-624
Kentucky6-421Final
Sat, Nov 12 · Kroger Field, Lexington, Ky. · Crowd 57,474 · 34°, fogSEC Network

Records are after this game.

Vanderbilt beat Kentucky by 3 points.

How the game turned

Vanderbilt aheadKentucky aheadLow: 9%

Q4 0:32 Vanderbilt 24, Kentucky 21

Vanderbilt 71% to win

Wright 8-yd TD pass to Sheppard, Vanderbilt goes ahead 24-21

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 13:22 · Vanderbilt 0, Kentucky 3Ruffolo 47-yd field goal, Kentucky goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q1 11:54 · Vanderbilt 7, Kentucky 3Vanderbilt's win chance rose from 14% to 17%.Wright 59-yd TD run, Vanderbilt goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q4 11:14 · Vanderbilt 14, Kentucky 15Vanderbilt's win chance fell from 50% to 29%.Rodriguez 5-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Kentucky goes ahead 15-14
  4. 4Q4 5:22 · Vanderbilt 17, Kentucky 15Vanderbilt's win chance rose from 30% to 59%.Bulovas 26-yd field goal, Vanderbilt goes ahead 17-15
  5. 5Q4 5:03 · Vanderbilt 17, Kentucky 21Vanderbilt's win chance fell from 59% to 18%.Rodriguez 72-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Kentucky goes ahead 21-17
  6. 6Q4 0:32 · Vanderbilt 24, Kentucky 21Vanderbilt's win chance rose from 36% to 71%.Wright 8-yd TD pass to Sheppard, Vanderbilt goes ahead 24-21

Vanderbilt's lowest chance to win was 9 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Vanderbilt took the lead for good with 0:32 left in the 4th quarter, Vanderbilt 24, Kentucky 21.

It was Vanderbilt's first win over Kentucky since the 2015 season, after 6 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. Vanderbilt's next game: W 31-24 vs Florida, Nov 19

    7 days later
  2. Kentucky's next game: L 6-16 vs Georgia, Nov 19

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 12, 2022: Kentucky 45, Vanderbilt 28, Sep 23, 2023

    about 10 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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