Regular season ·

Texas Tech beat Texas

Texas2-234
Texas Tech3-137Final
Sat, Sep 24 · Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, Texas · Crowd 60,975 · 92°, fairESPN

Records are after this game.

Texas Tech had a 4 percent chance to win with 4:22 left in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 37-34 in overtime, September 24, 2022.

How the game turned

Texas Tech aheadTexas aheadBiggest swingLow: 4%

OT1 Texas Tech 37, Texas 34

Texas Tech 100% to win

Wolff 20-yd field goal, Texas Tech wins it 37-34

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 13:36 · Texas Tech 0, Texas 7Texas Tech's win chance fell from 26% to 19%.Card 35-yd TD pass to Robinson, Texas goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 1:52 · Texas Tech 7, Texas 10Texas Tech's win chance fell from 30% to 28%.Auburn 40-yd field goal, Texas goes ahead 10-7
  3. 3Q2 12:06 · Texas Tech 14, Texas 10Texas Tech's win chance rose from 32% to 41%.Smith 17-yd TD pass to Brooks, Texas Tech goes ahead 14-10
  4. 4Q2 6:07 · Texas Tech 14, Texas 17Texas Tech's win chance fell from 44% to 30%.Card 39-yd TD pass to Worthy, Texas goes ahead 17-14
  5. 5Q4 0:21 · Texas Tech 34, Texas 31Wolff 45-yd field goal, Texas Tech goes ahead 34-31
  6. 6Q4 0:00 · Texas Tech 34, Texas 34Texas Tech's win chance fell from 55% to 28%.Auburn 48-yd field goal, ties it 34-34
  7. 7OT1 · Texas Tech 37, Texas 34Texas Tech's win chance rose from 41% to 100%.Wolff 20-yd field goal, Texas Tech wins it 37-34

Texas Tech's lowest chance to win was 4 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In overtime, Texas Tech's chance to win went from 40 percent to 99 percent when Texas Tech kicked a field goal.

The score went from Texas Tech 34, Texas 34 to Texas Tech 37, Texas 34.

The play: Wolff 20-yd field goal, Texas Tech wins it 37-34.

It was Texas Tech's first win over Texas since the 2017 season, after 4 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. Texas Tech's next game: L 28-37 at Kansas State, Oct 1

    7 days later
  2. Texas's next game: W 38-20 vs West Virginia, Oct 1

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 24, 2022: Texas 57, Texas Tech 7, Nov 24, 2023

    about 14 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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