Regular season ·
UConn beat Fresno State
Records are after this game.
UConn had a 3 percent chance to win in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 19-14, October 1, 2022.
How the game turned
Q4 2:20 UConn 19, Fresno State 14
UConn 74% to win
Houston 17-yd TD run, UConn goes ahead 19-14
Big moments
- 1Q1 4:06 · UConn 3, Fresno State 0UConn's win chance rose from 11% to 14%.Ruelas 26-yd field goal, UConn goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 9:33 · UConn 3, Fresno State 7UConn's win chance fell from 20% to 11%.Remigio return TD, Fresno State goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q4 2:20 · UConn 19, Fresno State 14UConn's win chance rose from 16% to 74%.Houston 17-yd TD run, UConn goes ahead 19-14
UConn's lowest chance to win was 3 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 2:20 left in the 4th quarter, UConn's chance to win went from 16 percent to 74 percent when UConn scored a touchdown.
The score went from UConn 12, Fresno State 14 to UConn 19, Fresno State 14.
The play: Houston 17-yd TD run, UConn goes ahead 19-14.
What happened next
UConn's next game: W 33-12 at Florida International, Oct 8
7 days laterFresno State's next game: L 20-40 at Boise State, Oct 8
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.