Regular season ·

New Mexico State beat Liberty

New Mexico State5-649
Liberty8-414Final
Sat, Nov 26 · Williams Stadium, Lynchburg, Va. · Crowd 18,837 · 61°, fairESPN+

Records are after this game.

New Mexico State beat Liberty by 35 points.

How the game turned

New Mexico State aheadLiberty aheadLow: 4%

Q1 6:11 New Mexico State 7, Liberty 0

New Mexico State 13% to win

Pavia 34-yd TD pass to Brady, New Mexico State goes ahead 7-0

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 6:11 · New Mexico State 7, Liberty 0Pavia 34-yd TD pass to Brady, New Mexico State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 7:16 · New Mexico State 14, Liberty 7Pavia 2-yd TD run, New Mexico State goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q2 6:29 · New Mexico State 21, Liberty 7New Mexico State's win chance rose from 39% to 70%.Pavia 39-yd TD pass to Thomas, New Mexico State leads 21-7

New Mexico State's lowest chance to win was 4 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

New Mexico State took the lead for good with 7:16 left in the 2nd quarter, New Mexico State 14, Liberty 7.

It was New Mexico State's first win over Liberty since the 2018 season, after 3 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. New Mexico State's next game: W 65-3 vs Valparaiso, Dec 3

    7 days later
  2. Liberty's next game: L 19-21 vs Toledo in the Roofclaim.com Boca Raton Bowl, Dec 20

    24 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 26, 2022: Liberty 33, New Mexico State 17, Sep 9, 2023

    about 9 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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