Regular season ·
Indiana beat Illinois
Records are after this game.
Indiana beat Illinois by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q4 0:23 Indiana 23, Illinois 20
Indiana 53% to win
Shivers 1-yd TD run, Indiana goes ahead 23-20
Big moments
- 1Q1 10:03 · Indiana 3, Illinois 0Campbell 39-yd field goal, Indiana goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q1 6:22 · Indiana 3, Illinois 7Indiana's win chance fell from 57% to 41%.DeVito 5-yd TD pass to Williams, Illinois goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q2 10:43 · Indiana 10, Illinois 7Indiana's win chance rose from 43% to 52%.Bazelak 52-yd TD pass to Matthews
- 4Q2 5:07 · Indiana 13, Illinois 10Campbell 43-yd field goal, Indiana goes ahead 13-10
- 5Q3 12:59 · Indiana 16, Illinois 17Indiana's win chance fell from 65% to 49%.DeVito 16-yd TD pass to Hightower, Illinois goes ahead 17-16
- 6Q4 0:23 · Indiana 23, Illinois 20Indiana's win chance rose from 30% to 53%.Shivers 1-yd TD run, Indiana goes ahead 23-20
Indiana's lowest chance to win was 15 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:23 left in the 4th quarter, Indiana's chance to win went from 30 percent to 53 percent when Indiana scored a touchdown.
The score went from Indiana 16, Illinois 20 to Indiana 23, Illinois 20.
The play: Shivers 1-yd TD run, Indiana goes ahead 23-20.
What happened next
Indiana's next game: W 35-22 vs Idaho, Sep 10
8 days laterIllinois's next game: W 24-3 vs Virginia, Sep 10
8 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 2, 2022: Illinois 48, Indiana 45, Nov 11, 2023
about 14 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

