Regular season ·
Ohio State beat Penn State
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 2 Ohio State beat No. 13 Penn State by 13 points.
How the game turned
Q4 9:26 Ohio State 16, Penn State 21
Ohio State 37% to win
Allen 1-yd TD run, Penn State goes ahead 21-16
Big moments
- 1Q1 9:47 · Ohio State 3, Penn State 0Ohio State's win chance rose from 85% to 86%.Ruggles 38-yd field goal, Ohio State goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 6:50 · Ohio State 10, Penn State 14Ohio State's win chance fell from 84% to 69%.Clifford 23-yd TD pass to Lambert-Smith, Penn State goes ahead 14-10
- 3Q3 0:10 · Ohio State 16, Penn State 14Ohio State's win chance rose from 69% to 79%.Ruggles 40-yd field goal, Ohio State goes ahead 16-14
- 4Q4 9:26 · Ohio State 16, Penn State 21Ohio State's win chance fell from 73% to 37%.Allen 1-yd TD run, Penn State goes ahead 21-16
- 5Q4 8:51 · Ohio State 23, Penn State 21Ohio State's win chance rose from 45% to 75%.Henderson 41-yd TD run, Ohio State goes ahead 23-21
Ohio State's lowest chance to win was 37 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 9:26 left in the 4th quarter, Penn State's chance to win went from 27 percent to 63 percent when Penn State scored a touchdown.
The score went from Ohio State 16, Penn State 14 to Ohio State 16, Penn State 21.
The play: Allen 1-yd TD run, Penn State goes ahead 21-16.
What happened next
Ohio State's next game: W 21-7 at Northwestern, Nov 5
7 days laterPenn State's next game: W 45-14 at Indiana, Nov 5
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 29, 2022: Ohio State 20, Penn State 12, Oct 21, 2023
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.