Regular season ·

Michigan State beat Illinois

Michigan State4-523
No. 14 Illinois7-215Final
Sat, Nov 5 · Memorial Stadium, Champaign, Ill. · Crowd 56,092 · 57°, cloudyBTN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Michigan State beat No. 14 Illinois by 8 points.

Illinois was No. 14 in the AP poll before the game; Michigan State was not ranked.

How the game turned

Michigan State aheadIllinois aheadBiggest swingLow: 7%
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Q2 0:33 Michigan State 9, Illinois 7

Michigan State 32% to win

DeVito incomplete to Reiman, turnover on downs

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 8:03 · Michigan State 0, Illinois 7Michigan State's win chance fell from 11% to 9%.DeVito 60-yd TD pass to Williams, Illinois goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 10:21 · Michigan State 9, Illinois 7Thorne 1-yd TD pass to Mosley, Michigan State goes ahead 9-7
  3. 3Q2 0:33 · Michigan State 9, Illinois 7Michigan State's win chance rose from 12% to 32%.DeVito incomplete to Reiman, turnover on downs
  4. 4Q3 5:45 · Michigan State 16, Illinois 7Michigan State's win chance rose from 45% to 58%.Broussard 11-yd TD run, Michigan State leads 16-7

Michigan State's lowest chance to win was 7 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:33 left in the 2nd quarter, Michigan State's chance to win went from 12 percent to 32 percent on a failed fourth down.

The score stayed Michigan State 9, Illinois 7.

The play: Illinois on 4th down, DeVito incomplete to Reiman.

What happened next

  1. Michigan State's next game: W 27-21 vs Rutgers, Nov 12

    7 days later

  2. Illinois's next game: L 24-31 vs Purdue, Nov 12

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 5, 2022: Illinois 38, Michigan State 16, Nov 16, 2024

    about 2 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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