Regular season ·

Minnesota beat Wisconsin

Minnesota8-423
Wisconsin6-616Final
Sat, Nov 26 · Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, Wis. · Crowd 75,728 · 52°, cloudyESPN

Records are after this game.

Minnesota beat Wisconsin by 7 points.

How the game turned

Minnesota aheadWisconsin aheadBiggest swingLow: 20%

Q4 3:40 Minnesota 23, Wisconsin 16

Minnesota 88% to win

Kaliakmanis 45-yd TD pass to Brockington, Minnesota goes ahead 23-16

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:39 · Minnesota 0, Wisconsin 3Van Zelst 40-yd field goal, Wisconsin goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q1 3:45 · Minnesota 7, Wisconsin 3Minnesota's win chance rose from 44% to 54%.Kaliakmanis 6-yd TD pass to Jackson, Minnesota goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q3 3:14 · Minnesota 13, Wisconsin 16Minnesota's win chance fell from 52% to 39%.Dike 9-yd TD run, Wisconsin goes ahead 16-13
  4. 4Q4 7:58 · Minnesota 16, Wisconsin 16Minnesota's win chance rose from 36% to 45%.Trickett 27-yd field goal, ties it 16-16
  5. 5Q4 3:40 · Minnesota 23, Wisconsin 16Minnesota's win chance rose from 67% to 88%.Kaliakmanis 45-yd TD pass to Brockington, Minnesota goes ahead 23-16

Minnesota's lowest chance to win was 20 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 3:40 left in the 4th quarter, Minnesota's chance to win went from 67 percent to 88 percent when Minnesota scored a touchdown.

The score went from Minnesota 16, Wisconsin 16 to Minnesota 23, Wisconsin 16.

The play: Kaliakmanis 45-yd TD pass to Brockington, Minnesota goes ahead 23-16.

What happened next

  1. Wisconsin's next game: W 24-17 vs Oklahoma State in the Guaranteed Rate Bowl, Dec 27

    31 days later
  2. Minnesota's next game: W 28-20 vs Syracuse in the Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl, Dec 29

    33 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 26, 2022: Wisconsin 28, Minnesota 14, Nov 25, 2023

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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