Regular season ·
Virginia beat Old Dominion
Records are after this game.
Virginia beat Old Dominion by 2 points.
How the game turned
Q4 0:00 Virginia 16, Old Dominion 14
Virginia 100% to win
Farrell 26-yd field goal, Virginia wins it 16-14
Big moments
- 1Q1 (no clock) · Virginia 0, Old Dominion 0Virginia's win chance rose from 61% to 72%.Sims 1-yd run, turnover on downs
- 2Q1 3:13 · Virginia 7, Old Dominion 0Virginia's win chance rose from 75% to 80%.Hollins 1-yd TD run, Virginia goes ahead 7-0
- 3Q3 (no clock) · Virginia 10, Old Dominion 7Virginia's win chance fell from 83% to 67%.Armstrong sacked, fumbles
- 4Q4 1:01 · Virginia 13, Old Dominion 14Virginia's win chance fell from 74% to 61%.Wolff 18-yd TD pass to Kuntz, Old Dominion goes ahead 14-13
- 5Q4 0:00 · Virginia 16, Old Dominion 14Virginia's win chance rose from 65% to 100%.Farrell 26-yd field goal, Virginia wins it 16-14
Virginia was never below a 55 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Virginia's chance to win went from 65 percent to 99 percent when Virginia kicked a field goal.
The score went from Virginia 13, Old Dominion 14 to Virginia 16, Old Dominion 14.
The play: Farrell 26-yd field goal, Virginia wins it 16-14.
What happened next
Virginia's next game: L 20-22 at Syracuse, Sep 23
6 days laterOld Dominion's next game: W 29-26 vs Arkansas State, Sep 24
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.