Regular season ·
UTSA beat North Texas
Records are after this game.
UTSA beat North Texas by 4 points.
How the game turned
Q4 0:15 UTSA 31, North Texas 27
UTSA 83% to win
Harris 10-yd TD pass to Clark, UTSA goes ahead 31-27
Big moments
- 1Q3 9:26 · UTSA 10, North Texas 6UTSA's win chance rose from 66% to 72%.Brady 3-yd TD run, UTSA goes ahead 10-6
- 2Q3 8:06 · UTSA 10, North Texas 13UTSA's win chance fell from 79% to 54%.Aune 19-yd TD pass to Roberts, North Texas goes ahead 13-10
- 3Q4 13:09 · UTSA 17, North Texas 13UTSA's win chance rose from 53% to 79%.Brady 1-yd TD run, UTSA goes ahead 17-13
- 4Q4 9:35 · UTSA 17, North Texas 20UTSA's win chance fell from 74% to 41%.Aune 44-yd TD pass to Gumms, North Texas goes ahead 20-17
- 5Q4 2:36 · UTSA 24, North Texas 20UTSA's win chance rose from 47% to 72%.Harris 6-yd TD pass to Cephus, UTSA goes ahead 24-20
- 6Q4 1:38 · UTSA 24, North Texas 27UTSA's win chance fell from 62% to 26%.Aune 1-yd TD pass to Johnson, North Texas goes ahead 27-24
- 7Q4 0:15 · UTSA 31, North Texas 27UTSA's win chance rose from 33% to 83%.Harris 10-yd TD pass to Clark, UTSA goes ahead 31-27
UTSA's lowest chance to win was 20 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:15 left in the 4th quarter, UTSA's chance to win went from 33 percent to 83 percent when UTSA scored a touchdown.
The score went from UTSA 24, North Texas 27 to UTSA 31, North Texas 27.
The play: Harris 10-yd TD pass to Clark, UTSA goes ahead 31-27.
What happened next
North Texas's next game: W 40-13 at Western Kentucky, Oct 29
7 days laterUTSA's next game: W 44-38 at UAB, Nov 5
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 22, 2022: UTSA 48, North Texas 27, Dec 2, 2022
41 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.