Duluth Trading Cure Bowl ·
Duluth Trading Cure Bowl
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 23 Troy beat No. 22 UTSA by 6 points, the Duluth Trading Cure Bowl.
It was played at a neutral site: Exploria Stadium, Orlando, FL.
How the game turned
Q2 12:30 Troy 0, UTSA 9
Troy 20% to win
Harris 2-yd TD pass to Franklin, UTSA leads 9-0
Big moments
- 1Q1 3:58 · Troy 0, UTSA 2Troy's win chance fell from 41% to 35%.Run for a SAFETY
- 2Q2 12:30 · Troy 0, UTSA 9Troy's win chance fell from 43% to 20%.Harris 2-yd TD pass to Franklin, UTSA leads 9-0
- 3Q3 2:43 · Troy 15, UTSA 12Troy's win chance rose from 30% to 51%.Watson 12-yd TD pass to Johnson, two-point try good, Troy goes ahead 15-12
Troy's lowest chance to win was 8 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 12:30 left in the 2nd quarter, UTSA's chance to win went from 57 percent to 80 percent when UTSA scored a touchdown.
The score went from Troy 0, UTSA 2 to Troy 0, UTSA 9.
The play: Harris 2-yd TD pass to Franklin, UTSA leads 9-0.
What happened next
Troy finished the 2022 season 12-2, No. 23 in the last AP poll before the bowls.
UTSA finished the 2022 season 11-3, No. 22 in the last AP poll before the bowls.
Troy's first game of the 2023 season: W 48-30 vs Stephen F. Austin, Sep 2, 2023
about 9 months laterUTSA's first game of the 2023 season: L 14-17 at Houston, Sep 2, 2023
about 9 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.