Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic ·
Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic
Records are after this game.
Tulane had a 2 percent chance to win with 5:14 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 46-45, the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic, January 2, 2023.
How the game turned
Q4 0:09 Tulane 46, USC 45
Tulane 99% to win
Pratt 6-yd TD pass to Bauman, Tulane goes ahead 46-45
Big moments
- 1Q1 5:58 · Tulane 0, USC 7Tulane's win chance fell from 35% to 29%.Williams 9-yd TD pass to Jackson, USC goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 2:21 · Tulane 14, USC 21Tulane's win chance fell from 38% to 33%.Brown 39-yd TD run, USC goes ahead 21-14
- 3Q4 0:09 · Tulane 46, USC 45Tulane's win chance rose from 21% to 99%.Pratt 6-yd TD pass to Bauman, Tulane goes ahead 46-45
Tulane's lowest chance to win was 2 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:09 left in the 4th quarter, Tulane's chance to win went from 21 percent to 99 percent when Tulane scored a touchdown.
The score went from Tulane 39, USC 45 to Tulane 46, USC 45.
The play: Pratt 6-yd TD pass to Bauman, Tulane goes ahead 46-45.
What happened next
Tulane finished the 2022 season 12-2.
USC finished the 2022 season 11-3, No. 8 in the last AP poll before the bowls.
USC's first game of the 2023 season: W 56-28 vs San José State, Aug 26, 2023
about 8 months laterTulane's first game of the 2023 season: W 37-17 vs South Alabama, Sep 2, 2023
about 8 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.