Regular season ·

Illinois beat Toledo

Toledo0-128
Illinois1-030Final
Sat, Sep 2 · Memorial Stadium, Champaign, Ill. · Crowd 48,898 · 84°, clearBTN

Records are after this game.

Illinois beat Toledo by 2 points.

How the game turned

Illinois aheadToledo aheadLow: 33%

Q4 0:05 Illinois 30, Toledo 28

Illinois 73% to win

Griffin 29-yd field goal, Illinois goes ahead 30-28

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:47 · Illinois 7, Toledo 0Illinois's win chance rose from 92% to 94%.McCray 1-yd TD run, Illinois goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 0:04 · Illinois 7, Toledo 12Illinois's win chance fell from 83% to 63%.Finn 15-yd TD pass to Newton, two-point try fails, Toledo goes ahead 12-7
  3. 3Q3 1:23 · Illinois 20, Toledo 19Illinois's win chance rose from 65% to 79%.Altmyer 4-yd TD pass to Bryant, two-point try fails, Illinois goes ahead 20-19
  4. 4Q4 2:59 · Illinois 27, Toledo 28Illinois's win chance fell from 88% to 59%.Finn 1-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Toledo goes ahead 28-27
  5. 5Q4 0:05 · Illinois 30, Toledo 28Griffin 29-yd field goal, Illinois goes ahead 30-28

Illinois's lowest chance to win was 33 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Illinois took the lead for good with 0:05 left in the 4th quarter, Illinois 30, Toledo 28.

What happened next

  1. Illinois's next game: L 23-34 at Kansas, Sep 8

    6 days later
  2. Toledo's next game: W 71-3 vs Texas Southern, Sep 9

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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