Regular season ·

Missouri beat Kansas State

No. 15 Kansas State2-127
Missouri3-030Final
Sat, Sep 16 · Memorial Stadium, Columbia, Mo. · Crowd 62,621 · 71°, cloudySEC Network

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Missouri had a 8 percent chance to win in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 30-27, September 16, 2023.

How the game turned

Missouri aheadKansas State aheadLow: 8%

Q4 8:24 Missouri 27, Kansas State 24

Missouri 62% to win

Cook 26-yd TD pass to Burden, Missouri goes ahead 27-24

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 10:46 · Missouri 0, Kansas State 7Missouri's win chance fell from 33% to 24%.Howard 10-yd TD pass to Brooks, Kansas State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 3:58 · Missouri 10, Kansas State 7Mevis 30-yd field goal, Missouri goes ahead 10-7
  3. 3Q2 10:05 · Missouri 10, Kansas State 14Missouri's win chance fell from 42% to 28%.Howard 3-yd TD pass to Sinnott, Kansas State goes ahead 14-10
  4. 4Q2 7:36 · Missouri 17, Kansas State 14Missouri's win chance rose from 32% to 42%.Cook 1-yd TD run, Missouri goes ahead 17-14
  5. 5Q3 1:39 · Missouri 17, Kansas State 24Missouri's win chance fell from 22% to 17%.Howard 3-yd TD pass to Sinnott, Kansas State goes ahead 24-17
  6. 6Q4 8:24 · Missouri 27, Kansas State 24Missouri's win chance rose from 23% to 62%.Cook 26-yd TD pass to Burden, Missouri goes ahead 27-24
  7. 7Q4 5:25 · Missouri 27, Kansas State 27Missouri's win chance fell from 60% to 48%.Tennant 26-yd field goal, ties it 27-27
  8. 8Q4 0:00 · Missouri 30, Kansas State 27Missouri's win chance rose from 74% to 100%.Mevis 61-yd field goal, Missouri wins it 30-27

Missouri's lowest chance to win was 8 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Missouri took the lead for good with 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Missouri 30, Kansas State 27.

What happened next

  1. Kansas State was No. 15 before the game and out of the next AP poll.

  2. Missouri's next game: W 34-27 vs Memphis, Sep 23

    7 days later
  3. Kansas State's next game: W 44-31 vs UCF, Sep 23

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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