Regular season ·
New Mexico State beat New Mexico
Records are after this game.
New Mexico State beat New Mexico by 10 points.
How the game turned
Q4 10:06 New Mexico State 27, New Mexico 17
New Mexico State 92% to win
Pavia 75-yd TD pass to Brady, New Mexico State leads 27-17
Big moments
- 1Q1 8:25 · New Mexico State 0, New Mexico 3Drzewiecki 25-yd field goal, New Mexico goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 13:32 · New Mexico State 7, New Mexico 3New Mexico State's win chance rose from 44% to 48%.Thomas 2-yd TD run, New Mexico State goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q2 9:01 · New Mexico State 7, New Mexico 10Croskey-Merritt 1-yd TD run, New Mexico goes ahead 10-7
- 4Q2 0:41 · New Mexico State 17, New Mexico 10New Mexico State's win chance rose from 66% to 67%.Pavia 31-yd TD pass to Brady, New Mexico State goes ahead 17-10
- 5Q4 10:06 · New Mexico State 27, New Mexico 17New Mexico State's win chance rose from 66% to 92%.Pavia 75-yd TD pass to Brady, New Mexico State leads 27-17
New Mexico State's lowest chance to win was 25 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 10:06 left in the 4th quarter, New Mexico State's chance to win went from 66 percent to 92 percent when New Mexico State scored a touchdown.
The score went from New Mexico State 20, New Mexico 17 to New Mexico State 27, New Mexico 17.
The play: Pavia 75-yd TD pass to Brady, New Mexico State leads 27-17.
What happened next
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.