Regular season ·
Ole Miss beat LSU
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Ole Miss had a 5 percent chance to win with 8:13 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 55-49, September 30, 2023.
Ole Miss was No. 20 and LSU No. 13 in the AP poll before the game.
How the game turned
Q4 0:39 Ole Miss 55, LSU 49
Ole Miss 79% to win
Dart 13-yd TD pass to Harris, two-point try good, Ole Miss goes ahead 55-49
Big moments
- 1Q1 10:25 · Ole Miss 7, LSU 0Ole Miss's win chance rose from 51% to 57%.Dart 4-yd TD pass to Judkins, Ole Miss goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 8:10 · Ole Miss 28, LSU 14Ole Miss's win chance rose from 65% to 82%.Dart 15-yd TD pass to Wade, Ole Miss leads 28-14
- 3Q3 11:30 · Ole Miss 31, LSU 35Ole Miss's win chance fell from 39% to 28%.Daniels 1-yd TD run, LSU goes ahead 35-31
- 4Q4 (no clock) · Ole Miss 40, LSU 49Ole Miss's win chance fell from 41% to 10%.Daniels 34-yd TD pass to Thomas, LSU leads 49-40
- 5Q4 0:39 · Ole Miss 55, LSU 49Ole Miss's win chance rose from 53% to 79%.Dart 13-yd TD pass to Harris, two-point try good, Ole Miss goes ahead 55-49
Ole Miss's lowest chance to win was 5 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
How the lead changed
Ole Miss took the lead for good with 0:39 left in the 4th quarter, Ole Miss 55, LSU 49.
What happened next
LSU went from No. 13 to No. 23 in the next AP poll.
Ole Miss's next game: W 27-20 vs Arkansas, Oct 7
7 days laterLSU's next game: W 49-39 at Missouri, Oct 7
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 30, 2023: LSU 29, Ole Miss 26, Oct 12, 2024
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.