Regular season ·

UTEP beat Sam Houston

UTEP3-637
Sam Houston0-834Final
Wed, Oct 25 · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium, Huntsville, Texas · Crowd 6,889 · 79°, cloudyESPN2

Records are after this game.

UTEP had a 6 percent chance to win in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 37-34, October 25, 2023.

How the game turned

UTEP aheadSam Houston aheadBiggest swingLow: 6%
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Q4 0:03 UTEP 37, Sam Houston 34

UTEP 99% to win

Flabiano 32-yd field goal, UTEP goes ahead 37-34

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 6:24 · UTEP 0, Sam Houston 7UTEP's win chance fell from 30% to 27%.Gentry 28-yd TD run, Sam Houston goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 9:52 · UTEP 7, Sam Houston 14UTEP's win chance fell from 36% to 28%.Shoemaker 18-yd TD pass to Gentry, Sam Houston goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q4 9:57 · UTEP 34, Sam Houston 27UTEP's win chance rose from 55% to 72%.Hurley 1-yd TD run, UTEP goes ahead 34-27
  4. 4Q4 6:02 · UTEP 34, Sam Houston 34UTEP's win chance fell from 51% to 40%.Smith 4-yd TD run, ties it 34-34
  5. 5Q4 0:03 · UTEP 37, Sam Houston 34UTEP's win chance rose from 63% to 99%.Flabiano 32-yd field goal, UTEP goes ahead 37-34

UTEP's lowest chance to win was 6 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:03 left in the 4th quarter, UTEP's chance to win went from 63 percent to 99 percent when UTEP kicked a field goal.

The score went from UTEP 34, Sam Houston 34 to UTEP 37, Sam Houston 34.

The play: Flabiano 32-yd field goal, UTEP goes ahead 37-34.

What happened next

  1. UTEP's next game: L 13-21 vs Western Kentucky, Nov 4

    10 days later

  2. Sam Houston's next game: W 24-21 vs Kennesaw State, Nov 4

    10 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 25, 2023: Sam Houston 41, UTEP 21, Oct 3, 2024

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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