Regular season ·
Alabama beat LSU
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 8 Alabama beat No. 13 LSU by 14 points.
How the game turned
Q4 2:28 Alabama 42, LSU 28
Alabama 61% to win
Nussmeier incomplete to Nabers, turnover on downs
Big moments
- 1Q1 9:46 · Alabama 0, LSU 7Alabama's win chance fell from 50% to 41%.Daniels 46-yd TD pass to Nabers, LSU goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 0:25 · Alabama 14, LSU 7Alabama's win chance rose from 64% to 69%.Milroe 4-yd TD run, Alabama goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q2 1:01 · Alabama 21, LSU 14Milroe 21-yd TD run, Alabama goes ahead 21-14
- 4Q3 11:14 · Alabama 21, LSU 28Alabama's win chance fell from 43% to 32%.Williams 2-yd TD run, LSU goes ahead 28-21
- 5Q3 1:01 · Alabama 35, LSU 28Alabama's win chance rose from 60% to 65%.Milroe 11-yd TD run, Alabama goes ahead 35-28
- 6Q4 2:28 · Alabama 42, LSU 28Alabama's win chance rose from 32% to 61%.Nussmeier incomplete to Nabers, turnover on downs
Alabama's lowest chance to win was 22 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 2:28 left in the 4th quarter, Alabama's chance to win went from 32 percent to 61 percent on a failed fourth down.
The score stayed Alabama 42, LSU 28.
The play: LSU on 4th down, Nussmeier incomplete to Nabers.
What happened next
Alabama's next game: W 49-21 at Kentucky, Nov 11
7 days laterLSU's next game: W 52-35 vs Florida, Nov 11
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 4, 2023: Alabama 42, LSU 13, Nov 9, 2024
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.