Regular season ·

Arkansas beat Florida

Arkansas3-639
Florida5-436Final
Sat, Nov 4 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, Fla. · Crowd 89,782 · 75°, cloudyESPN2

Records are after this game.

Arkansas beat Florida by 3 points in overtime.

How the game turned

Arkansas aheadFlorida aheadBiggest swingLow: 26%

OT1 Arkansas 39, Florida 36

Arkansas 100% to win

Jefferson 4-yd TD pass to Broden, Arkansas wins it 39-36

Big moments

  1. 1Q3 10:34 · Arkansas 20, Florida 17Little 41-yd field goal, Arkansas goes ahead 20-17
  2. 2Q3 1:38 · Arkansas 20, Florida 23Arkansas's win chance fell from 62% to 36%.Mertz 32-yd TD pass to Pearsall, two-point try fails, Florida goes ahead 23-20
  3. 3Q4 7:58 · Arkansas 23, Florida 26Arkansas's win chance fell from 42% to 31%.Smack 34-yd field goal, Florida goes ahead 26-23
  4. 4Q4 4:26 · Arkansas 30, Florida 26Arkansas's win chance rose from 42% to 70%.Jefferson 25-yd TD run, Arkansas goes ahead 30-26
  5. 5Q4 3:02 · Arkansas 30, Florida 33Arkansas's win chance fell from 73% to 31%.Etienne 26-yd TD run, Florida goes ahead 33-30
  6. 6Q4 0:44 · Arkansas 33, Florida 33Little 49-yd field goal, ties it 33-33
  7. 7OT1 · Arkansas 33, Florida 36Smack 39-yd field goal, Florida goes ahead 36-33
  8. 8OT1 · Arkansas 39, Florida 36Arkansas's win chance rose from 43% to 100%.Jefferson 4-yd TD pass to Broden, Arkansas wins it 39-36

Arkansas's lowest chance to win was 26 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In overtime, Arkansas's chance to win went from 43 percent to 99 percent when Arkansas scored a touchdown.

The score went from Arkansas 33, Florida 36 to Arkansas 39, Florida 36.

The play: Jefferson 4-yd TD pass to Broden, Arkansas wins it 39-36.

What happened next

  1. Arkansas's next game: L 10-48 vs Auburn, Nov 11

    7 days later
  2. Florida's next game: L 35-52 at LSU, Nov 11

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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