Regular season ·

Northwestern beat Illinois

Northwestern7-545
Illinois5-743Final
Sat, Nov 25 · Memorial Stadium, Champaign, Ill. · Crowd 42,310 · 39°, cloudyBTN

Records are after this game.

Northwestern beat Illinois by 2 points.

How the game turned

Northwestern aheadIllinois aheadBiggest swing

Q4 (no clock) Northwestern 42, Illinois 31

Northwestern 91% to win

Wallace fumble return TD, Northwestern leads 42-31

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 8:54 · Northwestern 7, Illinois 0Northwestern's win chance rose from 45% to 55%.Bryant 10-yd TD pass to Johnson, Northwestern goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 1:09 · Northwestern 14, Illinois 20Northwestern's win chance fell from 49% to 25%.Scott interception return TD, Illinois goes ahead 20-14
  3. 3Q4 13:12 · Northwestern 28, Illinois 31Northwestern's win chance fell from 57% to 29%.Williams 14-yd TD pass to Bryant, two-point try good, Illinois goes ahead 31-28
  4. 4Q4 10:04 · Northwestern 35, Illinois 31Northwestern's win chance rose from 27% to 55%.Bryant 8-yd TD run, Northwestern goes ahead 35-31
  5. 5Q4 (no clock) · Northwestern 42, Illinois 31Northwestern's win chance rose from 55% to 91%.Wallace fumble return TD, Northwestern leads 42-31

Northwestern's lowest chance to win was 19 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In the 4th quarter, Northwestern's chance to win went from 55 percent to 91 percent when Northwestern scored a touchdown.

The score went from Northwestern 35, Illinois 31 to Northwestern 42, Illinois 31.

The play: Wallace fumble return TD, Northwestern leads 42-31.

What happened next

  1. Northwestern's next game: W 14-7 vs Utah in the Srs Distribution Las Vegas Bowl, Dec 23

    28 days later
  2. Illinois finished the 2023 season 5-7.

  3. Illinois's first game of the 2024 season: W 45-0 vs Eastern Illinois, Aug 29, 2024

    about 9 months later
  4. The teams' next meeting after Nov 25, 2023: Illinois 38, Northwestern 28, Nov 30, 2024

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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