Regular season ·
Michigan beat Ohio State
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 3 Michigan beat No. 2 Ohio State by 6 points.
How the game turned
Q3 1:55 Michigan 24, Ohio State 17
Michigan 80% to win
Corum 22-yd TD run, Michigan goes ahead 24-17
Big moments
- 1Q1 5:36 · Michigan 7, Ohio State 0Michigan's win chance rose from 64% to 72%.Corum 1-yd TD run, Michigan goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q3 1:55 · Michigan 24, Ohio State 17Michigan's win chance rose from 63% to 80%.Corum 22-yd TD run, Michigan goes ahead 24-17
- 3Q4 8:05 · Michigan 27, Ohio State 24Michigan's win chance fell from 85% to 68%.McCord 14-yd TD pass to Harrison, cuts it to 27-24
Michigan was never below a 51 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 1:55 left in the 3rd quarter, Michigan's chance to win went from 63 percent to 80 percent when Michigan scored a touchdown.
The score went from Michigan 17, Ohio State 17 to Michigan 24, Ohio State 17.
The play: Corum 22-yd TD run, Michigan goes ahead 24-17.
What happened next
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

