Regular season ·

Duke beat Clemson

No. 9 Clemson0-17
Duke1-028Final
Mon, Sep 4 · Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, N.C. · Crowd 31,638 · 83°, fairESPN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Duke beat No. 9 Clemson by 21 points.

Clemson was No. 9 in the AP poll before the game; Duke was not ranked.

How the game turned

Duke aheadClemson aheadBiggest swingLow: 5%

Q4 10:33 Duke 21, Clemson 7

Duke 86% to win

Moore 9-yd TD run, two-point try good, Duke leads 21-7

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:19 · Duke 3, Clemson 0Pelino 22-yd field goal, Duke goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 10:09 · Duke 6, Clemson 7Duke's win chance fell from 18% to 9%.Klubnik 2-yd TD pass to Shipley, Clemson goes ahead 7-6
  3. 3Q3 12:40 · Duke 13, Clemson 7Duke's win chance rose from 12% to 23%.Leonard 44-yd TD run, Duke goes ahead 13-7
  4. 4Q4 10:33 · Duke 21, Clemson 7Duke's win chance rose from 50% to 86%.Moore 9-yd TD run, two-point try good, Duke leads 21-7

Duke's lowest chance to win was 5 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 10:33 left in the 4th quarter, Duke's chance to win went from 50 percent to 86 percent when Duke scored a touchdown.

The score went from Duke 13, Clemson 7 to Duke 21, Clemson 7.

The play: Moore 9-yd TD run, two-point try good, Duke leads 21-7.

It was Duke's first win over Clemson since the 2004 season, after 5 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. Duke's next game: W 42-7 vs Lafayette, Sep 9

    5 days later
  2. Clemson's next game: W 66-17 vs Charleston Southern, Sep 9

    5 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 4, 2023: Duke 46, Clemson 45, Nov 1, 2025

    about 2 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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