Regular season ·

Georgia Tech beat Miami

Georgia Tech3-323
No. 17 Miami4-120Final
Sat, Oct 7 · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Fla. · Crowd 58,045 · 78°, fairACC Network

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Georgia Tech had a 3 percent chance to win with 6:03 left in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 23-20, October 7, 2023.

How the game turned

Georgia Tech aheadMiami aheadBiggest swingLow: 3%

Q4 0:01 Georgia Tech 23, Miami 20

Georgia Tech 99% to win

King 44-yd TD pass to Leary, two-point try fails, Georgia Tech goes ahead 23-20

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 0:00 · Georgia Tech 0, Miami 3Borregales 30-yd field goal, Miami goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q3 1:09 · Georgia Tech 14, Miami 10Georgia Tech's win chance rose from 17% to 41%.Haynes 4-yd TD run, Georgia Tech goes ahead 14-10
  3. 3Q4 9:55 · Georgia Tech 17, Miami 17Georgia Tech's win chance fell from 64% to 26%.Parrish 3-yd TD run, ties it 17-17
  4. 4Q4 6:23 · Georgia Tech 17, Miami 20Georgia Tech's win chance fell from 23% to 14%.Borregales 39-yd field goal, Miami goes ahead 20-17
  5. 5Q4 0:01 · Georgia Tech 23, Miami 20Georgia Tech's win chance rose from 21% to 99%.King 44-yd TD pass to Leary, two-point try fails, Georgia Tech goes ahead 23-20

Georgia Tech's lowest chance to win was 3 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:01 left in the 4th quarter, Georgia Tech's chance to win went from 21 percent to 99 percent when Georgia Tech scored a touchdown.

The score went from Georgia Tech 17, Miami 20 to Georgia Tech 23, Miami 20.

The play: King 44-yd TD pass to Leary, two-point try fails, Georgia Tech goes ahead 23-20.

What happened next

  1. Miami went from No. 17 to No. 25 in the next AP poll.

  2. Miami's next game: L 31-41 at North Carolina, Oct 14

    7 days later
  3. Georgia Tech's next game: L 23-38 vs Boston College, Oct 21

    14 days later
  4. The teams' next meeting after Oct 7, 2023: Georgia Tech 28, Miami 23, Nov 9, 2024

    about 13 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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