Regular season ·
Pittsburgh beat Louisville
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Pittsburgh beat No. 14 Louisville by 17 points.
Louisville was No. 14 in the AP poll before the game; Pittsburgh was not ranked.
How the game turned
Q3 0:14 Pittsburgh 31, Louisville 21
Pittsburgh 76% to win
M.J. Devonshire 86 Yd Interception Return (Ben Sauls Kick)
Big moments
- 1Q1 11:39 · Pittsburgh 0, Louisville 7Pittsburgh's win chance fell from 21% to 17%.Plummer 7-yd TD pass to Bell, Louisville goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 11:43 · Pittsburgh 7, Louisville 14Pittsburgh's win chance fell from 37% to 21%.Guerendo 1-yd TD run, Louisville goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q2 0:25 · Pittsburgh 14, Louisville 21Pittsburgh's win chance fell from 24% to 18%.Guerendo 5-yd TD run, Louisville goes ahead 21-14
- 4Q3 3:39 · Pittsburgh 24, Louisville 21Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 29% to 48%.Flemister 3-yd TD run, Pittsburgh goes ahead 24-21
- 5Q4 3:28 · Pittsburgh 31, Louisville 21Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 84% to 96%.Plummer incomplete, turnover on downs
Pittsburgh's lowest chance to win was 12 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:14 left in the 3rd quarter, Pittsburgh's chance to win went from 36 percent to 76 percent when Pittsburgh scored a touchdown.
The score went from Pittsburgh 24, Louisville 21 to Pittsburgh 31, Louisville 21.
What happened next
Pittsburgh's next game: L 17-21 at Wake Forest, Oct 21
7 days laterLouisville's next game: W 23-0 vs Duke, Oct 28
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 14, 2023: Louisville 37, Pittsburgh 9, Nov 23, 2024
about 13 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.