Regular season ·

TCU beat SMU

SMU2-217
TCU3-134Final
Sat, Sep 23 · Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas · Crowd 51,243 · 91°, fogFS1

Records are after this game.

TCU beat SMU by 17 points.

How the game turned

TCU aheadSMU aheadBiggest swing
123

Q2 (no clock) TCU 7, SMU 3

TCU 85% to win

Knighton run for a 5-yd loss, turnover on downs

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 8:43 · TCU 0, SMU 3TCU's win chance fell from 59% to 55%.Rogers 24-yd field goal, SMU goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q1 0:16 · TCU 7, SMU 3TCU's win chance rose from 70% to 71%.Morris 9-yd TD pass to Wiley, TCU goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q2 (no clock) · TCU 7, SMU 3TCU's win chance rose from 68% to 85%.Knighton run for a 5-yd loss, turnover on downs

TCU was never below a 52 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In the 2nd quarter, TCU's chance to win went from 68 percent to 85 percent on a failed fourth down.

The score stayed TCU 7, SMU 3.

The play: SMU on 4th down, Knighton run for a 5-yd loss.

What happened next

  1. TCU's next game: L 21-24 vs West Virginia, Sep 30

    7 days later

  2. SMU's next game: W 34-16 vs Charlotte, Sep 30

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 23, 2023: SMU 66, TCU 42, Sep 21, 2024

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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