Regular season ·
Houston beat West Virginia
Records are after this game.
Houston beat West Virginia by 2 points.
How the game turned
Q4 0:00 Houston 41, West Virginia 39
Houston 100% to win
Smith 49-yd TD pass to Johnson, Houston wins it 41-39
Big moments
- 1Q2 0:28 · Houston 14, West Virginia 10Houston's win chance rose from 46% to 52%.Smith 2-yd TD run, Houston goes ahead 14-10
- 2Q3 13:06 · Houston 14, West Virginia 17Houston's win chance fell from 57% to 32%.Greene 35-yd TD pass to Ray, West Virginia goes ahead 17-14
- 3Q3 5:15 · Houston 21, West Virginia 17Houston's win chance rose from 45% to 58%.Smith 15-yd TD pass to Manjack, Houston goes ahead 21-17
- 4Q4 14:16 · Houston 21, West Virginia 24Houston's win chance fell from 63% to 32%.Greene 1-yd TD run, West Virginia goes ahead 24-21
- 5Q4 12:02 · Houston 28, West Virginia 24Houston's win chance rose from 51% to 67%.Smith 8-yd TD pass to Brown, Houston goes ahead 28-24
- 6Q4 0:12 · Houston 35, West Virginia 39Houston's win chance fell from 65% to 42%.Greene 50-yd TD pass to Clement, West Virginia goes ahead 39-35
- 7Q4 0:00 · Houston 41, West Virginia 39Houston's win chance rose from 42% to 100%.Smith 49-yd TD pass to Johnson, Houston wins it 41-39
Houston's lowest chance to win was 18 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Houston's chance to win went from 42 percent to 99 percent when Houston scored a touchdown.
The score went from Houston 35, West Virginia 39 to Houston 41, West Virginia 39.
The play: Smith 49-yd TD pass to Johnson, Houston wins it 41-39.
What happened next
Houston's next game: L 24-31 vs Texas, Oct 21
9 days laterWest Virginia's next game: L 34-48 vs Oklahoma State, Oct 21
9 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 12, 2023: West Virginia 45, Houston 35, Nov 1, 2025
about 2 years later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.