Famous Toastery Bowl ·
Famous Toastery Bowl
Records are after this game.
Western Kentucky trailed Old Dominion by 28 points in the 2nd quarter and won 38-35 in overtime, the Famous Toastery Bowl, December 18, 2023.
How the game turned
OT1 Western Kentucky 38, Old Dominion 35
Western Kentucky 100% to win
Carneiro 29-yd field goal, Western Kentucky wins it 38-35
Big moments
- 1Q1 12:59 · Western Kentucky 0, Old Dominion 7Western Kentucky's win chance fell from 30% to 25%.Wilson 1-yd TD pass to Paige, Old Dominion goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 10:22 · Western Kentucky 0, Old Dominion 7Western Kentucky's win chance fell from 26% to 14%.Helton sacked, fumbles
- 3OT1 · Western Kentucky 38, Old Dominion 35Western Kentucky's win chance rose from 47% to 100%.Carneiro 29-yd field goal, Western Kentucky wins it 38-35
Western Kentucky's lowest chance to win was 1 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
In overtime, Western Kentucky's chance to win went from 47 percent to 99 percent when Western Kentucky kicked a field goal.
The score went from Western Kentucky 35, Old Dominion 35 to Western Kentucky 38, Old Dominion 35.
The play: Carneiro 29-yd field goal, Western Kentucky wins it 38-35.
What happened next
Western Kentucky finished the 2023 season 8-5.
Old Dominion finished the 2023 season 6-7.
Western Kentucky's first game of the 2024 season: L 0-63 at Alabama, Aug 31, 2024
about 8 months laterOld Dominion's first game of the 2024 season: L 19-23 at South Carolina, Aug 31, 2024
about 8 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

