Wasabi Fenway Bowl ·

Wasabi Fenway Bowl

Wasabi Fenway Bowl
SMU11-314
Boston College7-623Final
Thu, Dec 28 · Fenway Park, Boston, Mass. (neutral site) · Crowd 16,238 · 45°, heavy rainESPN

Records are after this game.

Boston College had a 8 percent chance to win with 7:49 left in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 23-14, the Wasabi Fenway Bowl, December 28, 2023.

How the game turned

Boston College aheadSMU aheadBiggest swingLow: 8%
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Q4 9:48 Boston College 23, SMU 14

Boston College 75% to win

Castellanos 14-yd TD run, Boston College leads 23-14

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 6:21 · Boston College 3, SMU 0Connor 45-yd field goal, Boston College goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 9:14 · Boston College 3, SMU 7Boston College's win chance fell from 24% to 18%.Johnson 1-yd TD run, SMU goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q2 3:07 · Boston College 10, SMU 7Boston College's win chance rose from 21% to 26%.Robichaux 6-yd TD run, Boston College goes ahead 10-7
  4. 4Q2 0:08 · Boston College 10, SMU 14Boston College's win chance fell from 25% to 17%.Jennings 6-yd TD pass to Knighton, SMU goes ahead 14-10
  5. 5Q4 12:22 · Boston College 17, SMU 14Boston College's win chance rose from 15% to 38%.Castellanos 15-yd TD run, Boston College goes ahead 17-14
  6. 6Q4 9:48 · Boston College 23, SMU 14Boston College's win chance rose from 46% to 75%.Castellanos 14-yd TD run, Boston College leads 23-14

Boston College's lowest chance to win was 8 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 9:48 left in the 4th quarter, Boston College's chance to win went from 46 percent to 75 percent when Boston College scored a touchdown.

The score went from Boston College 17, SMU 14 to Boston College 23, SMU 14.

The play: Castellanos 14-yd TD run, Boston College leads 23-14.

What happened next

  1. Boston College finished the 2023 season 7-6.

  2. SMU finished the 2023 season 11-3.

  3. SMU's first game of the 2024 season: W 29-24 at Nevada, Aug 24, 2024

    about 8 months later

  4. Boston College's first game of the 2024 season: W 28-13 at Florida State, Sep 2, 2024

    about 8 months later

  5. The teams' next meeting after Dec 28, 2023: SMU 38, Boston College 28, Nov 16, 2024

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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