Regular season ·
Kentucky beat Ole Miss
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Kentucky had a 7 percent chance to win with 4:04 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 20-17, September 28, 2024.
How the game turned
Q3 0:10 Kentucky 13, Ole Miss 17
Kentucky 14% to win
Dart 48-yd TD pass to Harris, Ole Miss goes ahead 17-13
Big moments
- 1Q1 12:51 · Kentucky 0, Ole Miss 7Kentucky's win chance fell from 11% to 9%.Parrish 1-yd TD run, Ole Miss goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 0:27 · Kentucky 10, Ole Miss 7Vandagriff 5-yd TD pass to Key, Kentucky goes ahead 10-7
- 3Q3 6:31 · Kentucky 13, Ole Miss 10Kentucky's win chance rose from 28% to 36%.Raynor 48-yd field goal, Kentucky goes ahead 13-10
- 4Q3 0:10 · Kentucky 13, Ole Miss 17Kentucky's win chance fell from 44% to 14%.Dart 48-yd TD pass to Harris, Ole Miss goes ahead 17-13
- 5Q4 2:25 · Kentucky 20, Ole Miss 17Kentucky's win chance rose from 22% to 52%.Kattus 2-yd TD run, Kentucky goes ahead 20-17
Kentucky's lowest chance to win was 7 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:10 left in the 3rd quarter, Ole Miss's chance to win went from 56 percent to 87 percent when Ole Miss scored a touchdown.
The score went from Kentucky 13, Ole Miss 10 to Kentucky 13, Ole Miss 17.
The play: Dart 48-yd TD pass to Harris, Ole Miss goes ahead 17-13.
It was Kentucky's first win over Ole Miss since the 2011 season, after 3 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
Ole Miss's next game: W 27-3 at South Carolina, Oct 5
7 days laterKentucky's next game: L 13-20 vs Vanderbilt, Oct 12
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 28, 2024: Ole Miss 30, Kentucky 23, Sep 6, 2025
about 11 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.