Regular season ·

Texas A&M beat LSU

No. 8 LSU6-223
No. 14 Texas A&M7-138Final
Sat, Oct 26 · Kyle Field, College Station, Texas · Crowd 108,852 · 84°, fairABC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Texas A&M had a 8 percent chance to win with 13:41 left in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 38-23, October 26, 2024.

Texas A&M was No. 14 and LSU No. 8 in the AP poll before the game.

How the game turned

Texas A&M aheadLSU aheadBiggest swingLow: 8%

Q3 1:00 Texas A&M 21, LSU 17

Texas A&M 66% to win

Reed 8-yd TD run, Texas A&M goes ahead 21-17

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 6:15 · Texas A&M 0, LSU 3Ramos 23-yd field goal, LSU goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q1 3:51 · Texas A&M 0, LSU 10Texas A&M's win chance fell from 40% to 28%.Nussmeier 2-yd TD pass to Taylor, LSU leads 10-0
  3. 3Q2 4:55 · Texas A&M 7, LSU 17Texas A&M's win chance fell from 39% to 24%.Nussmeier 76-yd TD pass to Anderson, LSU leads 17-7
  4. 4Q3 8:10 · Texas A&M 14, LSU 17Texas A&M's win chance rose from 21% to 36%.Reed 8-yd TD run, cuts it to 17-14
  5. 5Q3 1:00 · Texas A&M 21, LSU 17Texas A&M's win chance rose from 47% to 66%.Reed 8-yd TD run, Texas A&M goes ahead 21-17

Texas A&M's lowest chance to win was 8 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 1:00 left in the 3rd quarter, Texas A&M's chance to win went from 47 percent to 66 percent when Texas A&M scored a touchdown.

The score went from Texas A&M 14, LSU 17 to Texas A&M 21, LSU 17.

The play: Reed 8-yd TD run, Texas A&M goes ahead 21-17.

What happened next

  1. LSU went from No. 8 to No. 16 in the next AP poll.

  2. Texas A&M's next game: L 20-44 at South Carolina, Nov 2

    7 days later
  3. LSU's next game: L 13-42 vs Alabama, Nov 9

    14 days later
  4. The teams' next meeting after Oct 26, 2024: Texas A&M 49, LSU 25, Oct 25, 2025

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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