Regular season ·
Iowa beat Minnesota
Records are after this game.
Iowa beat Minnesota by 17 points.
How the game turned
Q3 5:43 Iowa 21, Minnesota 14
Iowa 80% to win
Johnson 40-yd TD run, Iowa goes ahead 21-14
Big moments
- 1Q1 8:03 · Iowa 7, Minnesota 0Iowa's win chance rose from 65% to 78%.Johnson 1-yd TD run, Iowa goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 0:21 · Iowa 7, Minnesota 14Iowa's win chance fell from 45% to 44%.Brosmer 11-yd TD pass to Spencer, Minnesota goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q2 0:00 · Iowa 7, Minnesota 14Iowa's win chance fell from 59% to 39%.Johnson 24-yd run
- 4Q3 5:43 · Iowa 21, Minnesota 14Iowa's win chance rose from 58% to 80%.Johnson 40-yd TD run, Iowa goes ahead 21-14
Iowa's lowest chance to win was 39 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 5:43 left in the 3rd quarter, Iowa's chance to win went from 58 percent to 80 percent when Iowa scored a touchdown.
The score went from Iowa 14, Minnesota 14 to Iowa 21, Minnesota 14.
The play: Johnson 40-yd TD run, Iowa goes ahead 21-14.
What happened next
Minnesota's next game: L 24-27 at Michigan, Sep 28
7 days laterIowa's next game: L 7-35 at Ohio State, Oct 5
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 21, 2024: Iowa 41, Minnesota 3, Oct 25, 2025
about 13 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.