Regular season ·

Michigan beat Michigan State

Michigan State4-417
Michigan5-324Final
Sat, Oct 26 · Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, Mich. · Crowd 110,849 · 38°, clearBTN

Records are after this game.

Michigan beat Michigan State by 7 points.

How the game turned

Michigan aheadMichigan State aheadBiggest swingLow: 26%
12345

Q2 0:14 Michigan 6, Michigan State 7

Michigan 62% to win

Chiles sacked, fumbles

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 0:10 · Michigan 0, Michigan State 7Michigan's win chance fell from 53% to 46%.Carter 2-yd TD run, Michigan State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 0:14 · Michigan 6, Michigan State 7Michigan's win chance rose from 35% to 62%.Chiles sacked, fumbles
  3. 3Q2 0:02 · Michigan 9, Michigan State 7Zvada 37-yd field goal, Michigan goes ahead 9-7
  4. 4Q3 9:49 · Michigan 16, Michigan State 7Michigan's win chance rose from 70% to 85%.Orji 2-yd TD run, Michigan leads 16-7
  5. 5Q4 13:20 · Michigan 24, Michigan State 10Michigan's win chance rose from 84% to 96%.Edwards 23-yd TD pass to Loveland, two-point try good, Michigan leads 24-10

Michigan's lowest chance to win was 26 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:14 left in the 2nd quarter, Michigan's chance to win went from 35 percent to 62 percent on a fumble.

The score stayed Michigan 6, Michigan State 7.

The play: Chiles sacked, fumbles.

What happened next

  1. Michigan's next game: L 17-38 vs Oregon, Nov 2

    7 days later

  2. Michigan State's next game: L 10-47 vs Indiana, Nov 2

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 26, 2024: Michigan 31, Michigan State 20, Oct 25, 2025

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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