Regular season ·

SMU beat Duke

No. 22 SMU7-128
Duke6-227Final
Sat, Oct 26 · Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, N.C. · Crowd 30,241 · 70°, cloudyACC Network

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 22 SMU beat Duke by 1 point in overtime.

How the game turned

SMU aheadDuke aheadBiggest swing
12345

Q4 1:07 SMU 21, Duke 21

SMU 33% to win

Kevin Jennings run for no gain, fumbled, recovered by Nicholas

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 2:38 · SMU 0, Duke 7SMU's win chance fell from 76% to 68%.Murphy 43-yd TD pass to Brown, Duke goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 3:56 · SMU 14, Duke 7SMU's win chance rose from 78% to 86%.Jennings 3-yd TD run, SMU goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q4 9:02 · SMU 21, Duke 21SMU's win chance fell from 89% to 72%.Thomas 1-yd TD run, two-point try good, ties it 21-21
  4. 4Q4 0:00 · SMU 21, Duke 21SMU's win chance rose from 42% to 74%.Pelino 30-yd field goal blocked
  5. 5OT1 · SMU 28, Duke 21SMU's win chance rose from 74% to 82%.Smith 24-yd TD run, SMU goes ahead 28-21

SMU's lowest chance to win was 33 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 1:07 left in the 4th quarter, Duke's chance to win went from 31 percent to 67 percent on a fumble.

The score stayed SMU 21, Duke 21.

What happened next

  1. SMU's next game: W 48-25 vs Pittsburgh, Nov 2

    7 days later

  2. Duke's next game: L 31-53 at Miami, Nov 2

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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