Regular season ·

Syracuse beat Miami

No. 8 Miami10-238
Syracuse9-342Final
Sat, Nov 30 · JMA Wireless Dome, Syracuse, N.Y. · Crowd 40,486 · IndoorsESPN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Syracuse trailed Miami by 21 points in the 2nd quarter and won 42-38, November 30, 2024.

How the game turned

Syracuse aheadMiami aheadBiggest swingLow: 2%

Q4 9:16 Syracuse 42, Miami 35

Syracuse 69% to win

Allen 3-yd TD run, Syracuse goes ahead 42-35

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 10:46 · Syracuse 0, Miami 7Fletcher 2-yd TD run, Miami goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 11:02 · Syracuse 21, Miami 28Syracuse's win chance fell from 16% to 10%.Fletcher 2-yd TD run, Miami goes ahead 28-21
  3. 3Q3 1:47 · Syracuse 35, Miami 28Syracuse's win chance rose from 23% to 56%.Grant fumble return TD, Syracuse goes ahead 35-28
  4. 4Q4 13:02 · Syracuse 35, Miami 35Syracuse's win chance fell from 57% to 30%.Martinez 2-yd TD run, ties it 35-35
  5. 5Q4 9:16 · Syracuse 42, Miami 35Syracuse's win chance rose from 36% to 69%.Allen 3-yd TD run, Syracuse goes ahead 42-35

Syracuse's lowest chance to win was 2 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 9:16 left in the 4th quarter, Syracuse's chance to win went from 36 percent to 69 percent when Syracuse scored a touchdown.

The score went from Syracuse 35, Miami 35 to Syracuse 42, Miami 35.

The play: Allen 3-yd TD run, Syracuse goes ahead 42-35.

It was Syracuse's first win over Miami since the 1998 season, after 6 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. Syracuse's next game: W 52-35 vs Washington State in the Directv Holiday Bowl, Dec 27

    27 days later
  2. Miami's next game: L 41-42 vs Iowa State in the Pop-Tarts Bowl, Dec 28

    28 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 30, 2024: Miami 38, Syracuse 10, Nov 8, 2025

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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