Regular season ·

BYU beat Utah

No. 9 BYU9-022
Utah4-521Final
Sat, Nov 9 · Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, Utah · Crowd 54,383 · 41°, fairESPN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

BYU had a 9 percent chance to win with 13:36 left in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 22-21, November 9, 2024.

How the game turned

BYU aheadUtah aheadBiggest swingLow: 9%
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Q4 0:03 BYU 22, Utah 21

BYU 100% to win

Ferrin 44-yd field goal, BYU wins it 22-21

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 1:05 · BYU 3, Utah 0BYU's win chance rose from 67% to 70%.Ferrin 23-yd field goal, BYU goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 13:24 · BYU 3, Utah 7BYU's win chance fell from 68% to 55%.Rose 20-yd TD pass to Kuithe, Utah goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q2 13:09 · BYU 10, Utah 7BYU's win chance rose from 55% to 71%.Marion kickoff return TD, BYU goes ahead 10-7
  4. 4Q2 5:31 · BYU 10, Utah 14BYU's win chance fell from 60% to 51%.Kuithe 1-yd TD run, Utah goes ahead 14-10
  5. 5Q4 0:03 · BYU 22, Utah 21BYU's win chance rose from 43% to 100%.Ferrin 44-yd field goal, BYU wins it 22-21

BYU's lowest chance to win was 9 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:03 left in the 4th quarter, BYU's chance to win went from 43 percent to 99 percent when BYU kicked a field goal.

The score went from BYU 19, Utah 21 to BYU 22, Utah 21.

The play: Ferrin 44-yd field goal, BYU wins it 22-21.

What happened next

  1. BYU's next game: L 13-17 vs Kansas, Nov 16

    7 days later

  2. Utah's next game: L 24-49 at Colorado, Nov 16

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 9, 2024: BYU 24, Utah 21, Oct 18, 2025

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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