Regular season ·

New Mexico State beat Louisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech2-430
New Mexico State2-533Final
Tue, Oct 15 · Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, N.M. · Crowd 9,671 · 78°, clearESPNU

Records are after this game.

New Mexico State had a 4 percent chance to win in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 33-30 in 2 overtimes, October 15, 2024.

How the game turned

New Mexico State aheadLouisiana Tech aheadBiggest swingLow: 4%
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Q3 8:26 New Mexico State 17, Louisiana Tech 14

New Mexico State 37% to win

Nunez 7-yd TD run, New Mexico State goes ahead 17-14

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 11:44 · New Mexico State 7, Louisiana Tech 0New Mexico State's win chance rose from 28% to 39%.Awad 53-yd TD pass to Pride, New Mexico State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 1:12 · New Mexico State 7, Louisiana Tech 14New Mexico State's win chance fell from 17% to 14%.Wiggins 1-yd TD run, Louisiana Tech goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q3 8:26 · New Mexico State 17, Louisiana Tech 14New Mexico State's win chance rose from 7% to 37%.Nunez 7-yd TD run, New Mexico State goes ahead 17-14
  4. 4Q4 4:54 · New Mexico State 17, Louisiana Tech 24New Mexico State's win chance fell from 14% to 6%.Bullock 15-yd TD pass to Edwards, Louisiana Tech goes ahead 24-17
  5. 5OT1 · New Mexico State 27, Louisiana Tech 27New Mexico State's win chance fell from 34% to 31%.Buchanan 37-yd field goal, ties it 27-27

New Mexico State's lowest chance to win was 4 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 8:26 left in the 3rd quarter, New Mexico State's chance to win went from 7 percent to 37 percent when New Mexico State scored a touchdown.

The score went from New Mexico State 10, Louisiana Tech 14 to New Mexico State 17, Louisiana Tech 14.

The play: Nunez 7-yd TD run, New Mexico State goes ahead 17-14.

What happened next

  1. Louisiana Tech's next game: W 14-10 vs UTEP, Oct 22

    7 days later

  2. New Mexico State's next game: L 13-34 vs Florida International, Oct 29

    14 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 15, 2024: Louisiana Tech 49, New Mexico State 14, Sep 13, 2025

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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